Match Info

FRANCE: Division 1 Women - Round 15

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Mérignac		Toulon

	1	X	2
	1.27	12	4.4
	1.37	9.46	3.96	Watch
	1.36	11	3.75
	1.32	9.6	4.45
	1.27	12	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.61)	10.81 ↑ (9.8)	4.19 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérignac
69.6%

Draw
8.5%

Toulon
21.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

9.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

8.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérignac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérignac's performance.

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérignac than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérignac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Mérignac - Toulon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mérignac will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 4.

Mérignac has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toulon is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Mérignac is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 331:311 (average 25.5:23.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérignac won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 136:118 (average 22.7:19.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHB Mérignac Handball
French Division 1 Handball Women
19.02.25	Brest Bretagne - Mérignac	33:23 ✺
12.02.25	Mérignac - Besançon	27:27 ✺
04.02.25	Dijon - Mérignac	37:24 ✺
29.01.25	Mérignac - Chambray Touraine	33:40 ✺
15.01.25	Saint-Amand - Mérignac	38:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLL
- Toulon Saint-Cyr
French Division 1 Handball Women
19.02.25	Chambray Touraine - Toulon	31:25 ✺
12.02.25	Toulon - Sambre Avesnois	29:32 ✺
05.02.25	Brest Bretagne - Toulon	32:20 ✺
29.01.25	Toulon - Saint-Amand	24:19 ✺
15.01.25	Plan de Cuques - Toulon	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
06.11.24	Toulon - Mérignac	29:34
13.03.24	Toulon - Mérignac	27:28
05.11.23	Mérignac - Toulon	33:30
19.05.23	Toulon - Mérignac	31:30
18.01.23	Mérignac - Toulon	28:18
29.04.22	Toulon - Mérignac	24:23
Coupe de France Handball Women
15.01.22	Mérignac - Toulon	Toulon W awarded

Mérignac - Toulon