Match Info

Superliga Women - Winners stage - Round 23

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sports Arena Globe (Lublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3


	MKS Lublin		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.3	8	1.85
	2.31	6.75	1.91
	2.25	7.5	1.83
	2.08	8.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.36)	7.69 ↑ (7.31)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

MKS Lublin
40.6%

Draw
11.8%

Zagłębie Lubin
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

12.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

10.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MKS Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MKS Lublin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zagłębie Lubin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MKS Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 1.

Lublin is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zagłębie has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 522:597. (average 26.1:29.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 199:222. (average 24.9:27.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	MKS Lublin W	4	4	0	0	0	140:93	12
5	Zaglebie W	4	3	0	0	1	121:102	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Lublin
Polish Superliga Handball Women
21.03.26	Gniezno - MKS Lublin	26:28 ✺
15.03.26	MKS Lublin - Kobierzyce	28:25 ✺
25.02.26	MKS Lublin - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	29:28 ✺
17.02.26	Koszalin - MKS Lublin	19:33 ✺
07.02.26	MKS Lublin - Start Elbląg	37:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- KGHM Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Superliga Handball Women
18.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Piotrcovia Piotrków Trybunalski	20:27 ✺
15.03.26	Zagłębie Lubin - Koszalin	35:25 ✺
01.03.26	Kobierzyce - Zagłębie Lubin	34:35 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Gniezno - Zagłębie Lubin	13:24 ✺
EHF European League Women
21.02.26	Corona Brașov - Zagłębie Lubin	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball Women
14.01.26	MKS Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	34:28
EHF European League Women
15.11.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MKS Lublin	35:30
08.11.25	MKS Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin	24:29
Polish Superliga Handball Women
08.10.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MKS Lublin	33:29
Polish Super Cup Handball Women
30.08.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MKS Lublin	30:24
Polish Superliga Handball Women
25.05.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MKS Lublin	34:31
Polish Cup Handball Women
18.05.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MKS Lublin	28:24

Upcoming Matches