Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2


	MMTS Kwidzyn		Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski

	1	X	2
	1.61	8.00	2.75
	1.52	8.5	3
	1.52	7.8	3.27	Watch
	1.55	9.5	2.9
	1.6	9	2.86
	1.54	8.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.86)	8.53 ↑ (7.94)	2.96 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MMTS Kwidzyn
58.6%

Draw
10.7%

Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

11.4%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

11.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MMTS Kwidzyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MMTS Kwidzyn's performance.

Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MMTS Kwidzyn than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MMTS Kwidzyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kwidzyn won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Kwidzyn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Kwidzyn has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 374:377 (averaging 28.8:29 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kwidzyn against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 148:148 goals (averaging 29.6:29.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Ostrow Wielkopolski	6	3	0	0	3	188:199	9
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	5	2	0	0	3	142:165	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MMTS Kwidzyn
Polish Superliga Handball
26.09.26	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - MMTS Kwidzyn	24:39 ✺
21.09.26	Vive Kielce - MMTS Kwidzyn	39:22 ✺
09.09.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Kalisz	34:24 ✺
04.09.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Wisła Płock	19:46 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
14.08.26	Wybrzeże Gdańsk - MMTS Kwidzyn	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLL
- KPR Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Superliga Handball
27.09.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Vive Kielce	29:42 ✺
23.09.26	Kalisz - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	30:31 ✺
12.09.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - Wisła Płock	32:37 ✺
05.09.26	Gwardia Opole - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	32:30 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
07.08.26	Chrobry Głogów - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Superliga Handball
27.04.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - MMTS Kwidzyn	27:33
23.04.26	MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	23:31
08.02.26	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - MMTS Kwidzyn	30:28
27.09.25	MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	31:26
19.03.25	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - MMTS Kwidzyn	28:26
23.10.24	MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski	34:33 penalties
28.04.24	Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski - MMTS Kwidzyn	33:28

MMTS Kwidzyn - Ostrovia Ostrów Wielkopolski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide