Match Info

1a Divisao Women - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Madeira SAD		Gil Eanes

	1	X	2
	1.53	8.72	3.01	Watch
	1.31	10	4.49
	1.32	9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.31)	9.24 ↓ (10)	4 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madeira SAD
66.8%

Draw
10%

Gil Eanes
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

9.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

8.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madeira SAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Gil Eanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira SAD than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madeira SAD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Eanes than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madeira SAD won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Madeira SAD is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Madeira SAD won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 227:155. (average 28.4:19.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Madeira SAD won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 98:66. (average 32.7:22).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Madeira SAD W	6	4	1	1	161:121	15
6	Gil Eanes W	5	3	0	2	141:140	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madeira Andebol SAD Women
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
25.04.26	Madeira SAD - Benfica	20:32 ✺
18.04.26	ABC Braga - Madeira SAD	29:20 ✺
29.03.26	Madeira SAD - Almeida Garrett	28:27 ✺
21.03.26	Academia São Pedro do Sul - Madeira SAD	30:29 ✺
14.03.26	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	19:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- CD Gil Eanes
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
25.04.26	Gil Eanes - Academia São Pedro do Sul	15:23 ✺
18.04.26	Benfica - Gil Eanes	23:32 ✺
28.03.26	Gil Eanes - ABC Braga	29:22 ✺
21.03.26	Almeida Garrett - Gil Eanes	26:23 ✺
14.03.26	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	19:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 45 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
14.03.26	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	19:25
05.10.25	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	19:24
25.01.25	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	16:31
29.10.24	Madeira SAD - Gil Eanes	28:20
07.02.24	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	16:24
02.12.23	Madeira SAD - Gil Eanes	34:22
07.05.23	Gil Eanes - Madeira SAD	19:25

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