Match Info

Champions League

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: GETEC Arena (Magdeburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Prima Sport 5


	Magdeburg		Wisła Płock

	1	X	2
	1.22	12	6.5	Watch
	1.2	12	5.4	Watch
	1.25	14	5.79	Watch
	1.22	14	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	13 ↑ (9.8)	5.87 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
76.8%

Draw
7.2%

Wisła Płock
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

9.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.5%

8.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Magdeburg's performance.

Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Magdeburg - Wisła Płock Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Wisła Płock will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Magdeburg: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Magdeburg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Lineups


25. Barthold S.	32. Alilovic M.
54. Bergendahl O.	3. Daszek M.
7. Claar F.	33. Dawydzik D.
1. Hernandez S.	24. Fazekas G.
17. Hornke T.	43. Ilic Z.
19. Jonsson E.	8. Janc M.
10. Kristjansson G.	99. Kosorotov S.
21. Lagergren A.	26. Krajewski P.
14. Magnusson O.	34. Mihic L.
12. Mandic M.	22. Richardson M.
22. Mertens L.	21. Samoila K.
24. O'Sullivan C.	17. Serdio A.
11. Pettersson D.	1. Sittrup-Bergerud T.
23. Saugstrup M.	49. Szita Z.
20. Weber P.	9. Szyszko J.
9. Zechel T.	23. Zarabec M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 3.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.

In this match, Magdeburg is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 195:179. (average 27.9:25.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 121:106. (average 30.3:26.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Magdeburg
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.25	Erlangen - Magdeburg	31:31 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.09.25	Barcelona - Magdeburg	21:22 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
14.09.25	Magdeburg - Stuttgart	32:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
10.09.25	Magdeburg - Paris Saint-Germain	37:31 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
06.09.25	Füchse Berlin - Magdeburg	32:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWW
- Wisła Płock Handball
Polish Superliga Handball
20.09.25	MMTS Kwidzyn - Wisła Płock	26:37 ✺
EHF Champions League
17.09.25	Wisła Płock - PPD Zagreb	30:27 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
13.09.25	Piotrkowianin Piotrków - Wisła Płock	18:40 ✺
EHF Champions League
11.09.25	Szeged - Wisła Płock	33:34 ✺
Polish Superliga Handball
03.09.25	Gwardia Opole - Wisła Płock	27:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
15.02.24	Magdeburg - Wisła Płock	28:22
12.10.23	Wisła Płock - Magdeburg	26:28
17.05.23	Magdeburg - Wisła Płock	30:28
10.05.23	Wisła Płock - Magdeburg	22:22
09.02.23	Wisła Płock - Magdeburg	25:24
06.10.22	Magdeburg - Wisła Płock	33:27
EHF European League
22.05.21	Magdeburg - Wisła Płock	30:29

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