Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 15

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mainz		Leipzig

	1	X	2
	5.2	14	1.19
	5.83	9.92	1.21
	5.58	11.5	1.22
	5	9.5	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (5)	11.23 ↑ (9.8)	1.21 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
16.8%

Draw
8.1%

Leipzig
75.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.5%

9.4%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mainz - Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 4.

Mainz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mainz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leipzig is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 220:218. (average 27.5:27.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 109:113. (average 27.3:28.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Mainz W	6	6	0	0	195:165	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
17.01.26	Rödertal - Mainz	26:29 ✺
10.01.26	Mainz - Regensburg	27:29 ✺
03.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Mainz	25:32 ✺
27.12.25	Mainz - Solingen Gräfrath	27:28 ✺
20.12.25	Waiblingen - Mainz	25:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLL
- HC Leipzig
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.01.26	Leipzig - Lintfort	40:14 ✺
04.01.26	Leipzig - Füchse Berlin	33:24 ✺
28.12.25	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Leipzig	18:23 ✺
20.12.25	Leipzig - Nürtingen	30:29 ✺
15.11.25	Kirchhof - Leipzig	17:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
26.04.25	Mainz - Leipzig	25:30
15.12.24	Leipzig - Mainz	19:27
30.03.24	Mainz - Leipzig	23:22
12.11.23	Leipzig - Mainz	32:34
12.03.23	Leipzig - Mainz	27:31
05.11.22	Mainz - Leipzig	30:31
22.01.22	Mainz - Leipzig	31:30

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
31.10.26	Füchse Berlin - Mainz	✺

Mainz - Leipzig