Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Mainz		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.51	11	2.9
	1.51	8.5	3.07
	1.52	10	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)	9.83 ↑ (9.6)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mainz
60.3%

Draw
9.3%

Werder Bremen
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

9.6%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

9.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mainz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Mainz - Werder Bremen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.

Mainz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Werder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mainz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Mainz will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 249:265. (average 27.7:29.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 140:155. (average 28:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mainz 05 Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
08.11.25	Rostocker - Mainz	28:37 ✺
01.11.25	Mainz - Freiburg	28:25 ✺
25.10.25	Mainz - Kirchhof	31:23 ✺
12.10.25	Lintfort - Mainz	23:34 ✺
04.10.25	Mainz - Bergischer	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- Werder Bremen Handball Women
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
08.11.25	Werder Bremen - Lintfort	34:26 ✺
01.11.25	Bergischer - Werder Bremen	26:25 ✺
25.10.25	Werder Bremen - Füchse Berlin	21:21 ✺
12.10.25	Buchholz 08-Rosengarten - Werder Bremen	34:39 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - Nürtingen	24:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
24.05.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	29:41
18.01.25	Werder Bremen - Mainz	25:26
11.05.24	Werder Bremen - Mainz	30:26
16.12.23	Mainz - Werder Bremen	28:25
22.04.23	Werder Bremen - Mainz	28:29
10.12.22	Mainz - Werder Bremen	25:28
11.05.22	Werder Bremen - Mainz	27:28

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