Match Info

SWEDEN: HANDBOLLSLIGAN

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Malmö		Aranäs

	1	X	2
	1.3	8.5	4.5
	1.3	11	4.33
	1.36	10.5	3.9
	1.25	9.5	4.33
	1.41	9.8	3.78	Watch
	1.38	9.2	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.33)	9.75 ↑ (9.73)	4.12 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
68.5%

Draw
9.4%

Aranäs
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

9.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

9.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Aranäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Malmö aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Malmö - Aranäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 5.

Malmö is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aranäs is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Malmö won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 386-290.

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 225-150.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
14.10.23	Hallby - Malmö	30:29 ✺
08.10.23	Malmö - Eskilstuna Guif	30:23 ✺
03.10.23	Malmö - Alingsås	28:25 ✺
28.09.23	Skövde - Malmö	29:29 ✺
24.09.23	Malmö - Ystads IF	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LWWTW
- HK Aranäs
Swedish Elitserien Handball
13.10.23	Aranäs - Lugi	21:30 ✺
06.10.23	Alingsås - Aranäs	37:27 ✺
03.10.23	Aranäs - HF Karlskrona	33:30 ✺
28.09.23	Amo HK - Aranäs	33:27 ✺
24.09.23	Kristianstad - Aranäs	35:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
30.12.22	Aranäs - Malmö	25:29
06.11.22	Malmö - Aranäs	35:28
16.02.22	Malmö - Aranäs	32:25
17.10.21	Aranäs - Malmö	21:26
28.01.21	Aranäs - Malmö	26:32
24.11.20	Malmö - Aranäs	32:19
30.01.18	Aranäs - Malmö	20:27

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