Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Malmö		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	2.3	8.5	1.83
	2.48	7.5	1.84
	2.07	9.6	1.84
	2.25	9	1.8
	2.35	7.7	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (3.2)	8.46 ↑ (8.1)	1.84 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
39.8%

Draw
10.8%

Fenix Toulouse
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

11.4%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

10.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fenix Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenix Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Malmö - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 24-30.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Malmö could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Toulouse Union have a series of home games.

Toulouse Union will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
24.09.21	Hammarby - Malmö	36:26 ✺
EHF European League
21.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Malmö	30:24 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball
16.09.21	Malmö - Skövde	36:30 ✺
13.09.21	Malmö - IFK Ystad	32:32 ✺
EHF European League
05.09.21	Malmö - Balatonfüredi KSE	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
25.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Nancy	22:24 ✺
EHF European League
21.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Malmö	30:24 ✺
French Starligue Handball
19.09.21	Paris Saint-Germain - Fenix Toulouse	43:28 ✺
11.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Chambery SH	27:30 ✺
EHF European League
04.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Alpla Hard	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
21.09.21	Fenix Toulouse - Malmö	30:24

Malmö - Fenix Toulouse

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Malmö - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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