Match Info

Handbollsligan - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Malmö		HF Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	1.65	8.00	2.60
	1.68	7.00	2.70
	1.70	9.00	2.65
	1.68	7.6	2.72
	1.65	7.50	2.70
	1.65	9.00	2.73
	1.67	8.40	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	8.07 ↑ (7.84)	2.71 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
54.9%

Draw
11.3%

HF Karlskrona
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

11.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

12%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

HF Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HF Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Malmö - HF Karlskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.

Malmö is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

HF Karlskrona has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Malmö holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Malmö has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 173:156 (averaging 28.8:26 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 85:78 goals (averaging 28.3:26 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Malmo	4	2	0	2	124:124	4
12	Karlskrona	4	1	0	3	124:134	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Malmö
Swedish Elitserien Handball
03.10.26	Ystads IF - Malmö	35:29 ✺
26.09.26	Malmö - Helsingborg	32:25 ✺
23.09.26	Skånela - Malmö	34:29 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
11.09.26	Malmö - Ystads IF	38:38
05.09.26	Ystads IF - Malmö	34:31
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLTL
- HF Karlskrona
Swedish Elitserien Handball
02.10.26	HF Karlskrona - Amo HK	31:30 ✺
26.09.26	Skövde - HF Karlskrona	36:35 ✺
23.09.26	HF Karlskrona - Alingsås	28:34 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
12.09.26	VästeråsIrsta - HF Karlskrona	35:33 penalties
05.09.26	HF Karlskrona - VästeråsIrsta	33:32
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Elitserien Handball
05.12.25	HF Karlskrona - Malmö	29:29
09.10.25	Malmö - HF Karlskrona	32:32
30.12.24	HF Karlskrona - Malmö	27:29
24.09.24	Malmö - HF Karlskrona	25:24
03.03.24	Malmö - HF Karlskrona	28:22
28.10.23	HF Karlskrona - Malmö	22:30

Malmö - HF Karlskrona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide