Match Info

European League Women - Preliminary - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Mecalia Atletico Guardes		Boden

	1	X	2
	1.50	8.25	3.20
	1.90	8.50	2.23
	2.49	7.00	1.80	Watch
	1.63	8.90	2.78
	2.34	7.60	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.49)	8.05 ↑ (7)	2.38 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
48.2%

Draw
11.8%

Boden
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

13%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

11.9%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mecalia Atletico Guardes's performance.

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mecalia Atletico Guardes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Boden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:28

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Preview

First leg result: 28-30.

Guardes is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Boden have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Guardes has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 28:30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
EHF European League Women
03.10.26	Boden - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	30:28 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
29.09.26	Lanzarote Zonzamas - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26
16.09.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	20:16 ✺
12.09.26	Morvedre - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	16:26 ✺
09.09.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Sporting La Rioja	29:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Boden Handboll IF
EHF European League Women
03.10.26	Boden - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	30:28 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball Women
30.09.26	Sävehof - Boden	39:28 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball Women
06.09.26	Sävehof - Boden	38:34
02.09.26	Boden - Sävehof	28:30
23.08.26	Boden - Boden	20:52
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League Women
03.10.26	Boden - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	30:28

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