Match Info

Extraliga - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Mesto Lovosice		Dukla Praha

	1	X	2
	1.85	7.8	2.31
	1.87	6.82	2.36	Watch
	1.8	7.5	2.38
	1.82	9.2	2.34
	1.74	8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.71)	7.86 ↓ (9.57)	2.38 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mesto Lovosice
50.1%

Draw
11.6%

Dukla Praha
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

9.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

9.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mesto Lovosice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Dukla Praha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mesto Lovosice than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Praha than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Mesto Lovosice - Dukla Praha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 2.

In recent matches, Mesto Lovosice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dukla Praha is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mesto Lovosice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mesto Lovosice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mesto Lovosice won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 619:638. (average 31:31.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mesto Lovosice won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 305:307. (average 30.5:30.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mesto Lovosice
Czech Cup Handball
02.12.25	Mesto Lovosice - Házená Nové Veselí	34:28 ✺
Czech Extraliga Handball
29.11.25	Zubri - Mesto Lovosice	38:35 ✺
18.11.25	Brno - Mesto Lovosice	37:23 ✺
11.11.25	Mesto Lovosice - Banik Karviná	30:34 ✺
08.11.25	Házená Nové Veselí - Mesto Lovosice	34:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLLW
- HC Dukla Praha
Czech Extraliga Handball
03.12.25	Dukla Praha - Ronal Jicin	40:28 ✺
28.11.25	Dukla Praha - KH Koprivnice	36:29 ✺
Czech Cup Handball
26.11.25	Zubri - Dukla Praha	30:28 ✺
Czech Extraliga Handball
12.11.25	Talent MAT Plzen - Dukla Praha	23:24 ✺
09.11.25	Dukla Praha - Frýdek-Místek	32:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga Handball
06.11.25	Dukla Praha - Mesto Lovosice	33:29
24.05.25	Dukla Praha - Mesto Lovosice	39:38 penalties
21.05.25	Mesto Lovosice - Dukla Praha	33:35 penalties
16.05.25	Dukla Praha - Mesto Lovosice	27:35
Czech Cup Handball
18.12.24	Mesto Lovosice - Dukla Praha	36:32
Czech Extraliga Handball
20.11.24	Dukla Praha - Mesto Lovosice	31:22
07.09.24	Mesto Lovosice - Dukla Praha	33:33

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