Match Info

Date: 17 November 2021, Wednesday


	Metz		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.37	9.5	4.5	Watch
	1.3	11	4.5
	1.41	10.5	3.75	Watch
	1.34	10	4.1
	1.35	9	4
	1.37	9.8	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.76)	9.97 ↑ (8.56)	4.19 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
68.5%

Draw
9.3%

CSKA Moscow
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

10.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

10.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metz's performance.

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSKA Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-19.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.5%	3.6%	1.8%

Metz - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (52 of 55 users predict this - 94.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.55% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Preview

Metz in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches CSKA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSKA could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metz have a series of guest games.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Recent matches CSKA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metz Handball
EHF Champions League Women
14.11.21	Sävehof - Metz	28:31 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
10.11.21	Metz - Brest Bretagne	31:24 ✺
06.11.21	Celles-sur-Belle - Metz	19:33 ✺
03.11.21	Nantes - Metz	23:34 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
31.10.21	Kastamonu - Metz	20:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- CSKA Moscow Handball Women
EHF Champions League Women
14.11.21	CSKA Moscow - RK Krim	21:21 ✺
Russian Superleague Handball Women
03.11.21	CSKA Moscow - Rostov-Don	21:27 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
31.10.21	CSKA Moscow - Odense	21:28 ✺
Russian Superleague Handball Women
27.10.21	Astrahanochka - CSKA Moscow	27:36 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
23.10.21	Vipers Kristiansand - CSKA Moscow	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWW

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