Match Info

Champions League Women - Round 14

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Arenes de Metz (Metz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DR 1, DR TV, Viaplay
Europe	EHF TV
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV6
Sweden	Viaplay


	Metz		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	1.6	8.5	3.1	Watch
	1.46	9.6	3.25	Watch
	1.55	7.84	3.12	Watch
	1.44	9.5	3
	1.58	9.2	2.93	Watch
	1.38	9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	8.94 ↑ (8.5)	3.15 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
60.8%

Draw
10.2%

Esbjerg
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

10.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

10.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esbjerg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esbjerg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Metz - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 58.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Lineups


11. Albek A.	29. Dekker S.
15. Augustine E. A.	38. Emmenegger M.
9. Axner T.	42. Filter K.
76. Borg L.	17. Hansson E.
27. Bouktit S.	22. Haugsted L.
1. Bundsen J.	10. Heindahl K.
98. Errard M.	20. Jacobsen M.
7. Goval N.	21. Kindberg H.
29. Grandveau L.	12. Kristensen A.
28. Granier L.	18. Lofqvist O.
23. Ngombele B.	9. Mork N.
79. Novotna S.	25. Reistad H.
22. Smits X.	8. Rushfeldt L.
6. Valentini C.	6. Sprengers Z.
38. Vamos P.	27. Tolstrup Petersen A.

Preview

Metz is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Esbjerg is Qualified for Champions League Women (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metz is the team to beat.

We predict that Metz will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 358:356. (average 29.8:29.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 124:115. (average 31:28.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metz Handball
EHF Champions League Women
15.02.26	BVB Dortmund - Metz	24:33 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
11.02.26	Metz - Toulon	34:26 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
07.02.26	Metz - Gloria Bistrița	29:26 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
04.02.26	Paris 92 - Metz	24:36 ✺
28.01.26	Metz - Besançon	38:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Team Esbjerg
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
18.02.26	Skanderborg - Esbjerg	20:39 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
14.02.26	Esbjerg - Győri Audi ETO KC	33:28 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
11.02.26	Esbjerg - EH Aalborg	38:26 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
07.02.26	Storhamar - Esbjerg	33:39 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
04.02.26	HOJ - Esbjerg	18:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League Women
07.09.25	Esbjerg - Metz	29:30
01.06.25	Esbjerg - Metz	30:27
02.06.24	Esbjerg - Metz	37:33
04.02.24	Metz - Esbjerg	36:31
23.09.23	Esbjerg - Metz	29:27
08.01.23	Metz - Esbjerg	26:24
16.10.22	Esbjerg - Metz	35:28

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