Match Info

1. Division - Round 21

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Midtjylland		Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.95	9	1.54
	3.04	8.64	1.53
	2.75	9	1.53
	2.91	9.2	1.58
	2.8	9.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (1.74)	9.07 ↑ (8.33)	1.54 ↓ (2.43)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
31.3%

Draw
10%

Aarhus
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

10.9%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

10.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Midtjylland's form might have worsened.

Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+21.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Midtjylland - Aarhus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Aarhus is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 210:260. (average 23.3:28.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 78:85. (average 26:28.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Midtjylland	7	5	0	2	210:201	10
6	Aarhus Handbold	7	4	0	3	218:218	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Midtjylland
Danish 1 Division Handball
06.02.26	Skive FH - Midtjylland	40:32 ✺
02.02.26	Midtjylland - Give	35:22 ✺
21.01.26	KIF Kolding - Midtjylland	29:22 ✺
20.12.25	HC København - Midtjylland	32:36 ✺
13.12.25	Midtjylland - Vendsyssel	33:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Aarhus Handbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
08.02.26	Aarhus - Norddjurs	33:29 ✺
31.01.26	Aarhus - TIK Taastrup	32:22 ✺
22.01.26	Skive FH - Aarhus	33:24 ✺
17.01.26	Aarhus - Give	28:23 ✺
20.12.25	KIF Kolding - Aarhus	33:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
17.10.25	Aarhus - Midtjylland	32:26
22.02.25	Aarhus - Midtjylland	32:20
Danish Handbold Ligaen
12.02.18	Aarhus - Midtjylland	33:15
26.09.17	Midtjylland - Aarhus	26:30
19.03.17	Aarhus - Midtjylland	26:21
18.02.16	Midtjylland - Aarhus	27:29
28.09.15	Aarhus - Midtjylland	29:27

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