Match Info

DENMARK: HERRE HANDBOLD LIGAEN - ROUND 18

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Midtjylland		Sønderjysk Elite

	1	X	2
	4.25	9.5	1.4
	3.6	11.5	1.4
	4.2	9.5	1.37
	4	10	1.37
	3.8	10	1.35
	3.78	9.8	1.41
	3.95	9.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	10.01 ↑ (9.36)	1.38 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
23.5%

Draw
9.3%

Sønderjysk Elite
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

9.9%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

9.8%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Sønderjysk Elite have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sønderjysk Elite than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.5%	95.5%

Midtjylland - Sønderjysk Elite Predictions

Users Predictions: Sønderjysk Elite will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 0.

Midtjylland has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sønderjysk Elite is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Midtjylland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sønderjysk Elite is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 203-226.

Including matches at home between the teams Midtjylland won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 100-129.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Midtjylland
Danish Handbold Ligaen
06.12.22	Midtjylland - Mors-Thy	25:26 ✺
03.12.22	GOG - Midtjylland	31:28 ✺
23.11.22	Midtjylland - Bjerringbro SV	28:31 ✺
20.11.22	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Midtjylland	30:27 ✺
16.11.22	Skjern - Midtjylland	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sønderjysk Elite
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.12.22	Sønderjysk Elite - GOG	42:37 ✺
30.11.22	Bjerringbro SV - Sønderjysk Elite	34:23 ✺
27.11.22	Sønderjysk Elite - Skjern	28:26 ✺
19.11.22	Skanderborg Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	30:28 ✺
16.11.22	Lemvig-Thyborøn - Sønderjysk Elite	23:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
20.09.22	Sønderjysk Elite - Midtjylland	29:28
11.04.18	Midtjylland - Sønderjysk Elite	25:37
12.03.18	Midtjylland - Sønderjysk Elite	25:41
13.11.17	Sønderjysk Elite - Midtjylland	26:24
28.12.15	Sønderjysk Elite - Midtjylland	22:21
10.09.15	Midtjylland - Sønderjysk Elite	24:25
26.12.14	Sønderjysk Elite - Midtjylland	20:30

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