Match Info

Liga Nationala - Round 11

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Minaur Baia Mare		CSM București

	1	X	2
	1.34	10	3.9
	1.35	8.03	4.16	Watch
	1.36	10.5	3.92	Watch
	1.3	9.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)	9.51 ↑ (9.5)	4 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minaur Baia Mare
67.8%

Draw
9.5%

CSM București
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

9.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

7.9%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minaur Baia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

CSM București has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minaur Baia Mare than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minaur Baia Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM București than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minaur Baia Mare won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Minaur Baia Mare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Minaur Baia Mare is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minaur Baia Mare won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 516:558. (average 25.8:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Minaur Baia Mare won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 285:285. (average 25.9:25.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Minaur Baia Mare
EHF European League
02.12.25	BM Granollers - Minaur Baia Mare	29:28 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
29.11.25	Potaissa Turda - Minaur Baia Mare	23:23 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Minaur Baia Mare - Slovan Ljubljana	28:22 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
22.11.25	Minaur Baia Mare - Sighişoara	34:30 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	Skanderborg - Minaur Baia Mare	39:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL
- CSM București Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
28.11.25	CSM București - Universitatea Bucovina Suceava	35:28 ✺
21.11.25	CSM București - CSM Constanța	26:21 ✺
15.11.25	Potaissa Turda - CSM București	30:27 ✺
17.10.25	CSM București - Sighişoara	36:24 ✺
12.10.25	Dinamo Bucureşti - CSM București	35:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup Handball
12.04.25	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	27:23
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
27.02.25	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	27:23
25.09.24	CSM București - Minaur Baia Mare	31:28
Romanian Cup Handball
19.05.24	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	24:26
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
19.03.24	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	27:23
09.10.23	CSM București - Minaur Baia Mare	19:28
Romanian Cup Handball
13.05.23	Minaur Baia Mare - CSM București	22:21

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