Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Play Out - Round 2

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Morvedre		La Calzada

	1	X	2
	1.45	9.5	3.3
	1.47	10	3.1
	1.42	8.38	3.74
	1.49	8.1	3.42
	1.47	10	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	9.2 ↑ (7.97)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morvedre
62.6%

Draw
9.9%

La Calzada
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

11.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

11.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morvedre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morvedre than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Morvedre - La Calzada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morvedre won 3.

Morvedre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

La Calzada is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Morvedre is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Morvedre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 138:148. (average 23:24.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Morvedre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:67. (average 24:22.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Morvedre
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
10.05.25	Sporting La Rioja - Morvedre	20:18 ✺
03.05.25	Porriño - Morvedre	27:19 ✺
26.04.25	Morvedre - Malaga Costa del Sol	23:31 ✺
19.04.25	Elche - Morvedre	27:19 ✺
05.04.25	Morvedre - Aula Valladolid	36:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLLW
- BM La Calzada
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
10.05.25	La Calzada - Elda Prestigia	16:18 ✺
03.05.25	Elda Prestigia - La Calzada	31:19 ✺
26.04.25	La Calzada - Porriño	21:21 ✺
19.04.25	Malaga Costa del Sol - La Calzada	37:13 ✺
05.04.25	La Calzada - Elche	15:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
08.02.25	Morvedre - La Calzada	23:19
21.09.24	La Calzada - Morvedre	21:25
09.04.22	Morvedre - La Calzada	24:23
05.11.21	La Calzada - Morvedre	31:17
12.02.21	Morvedre - La Calzada	25:25
17.10.20	La Calzada - Morvedre	29:24

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