Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE WOMEN - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Sport 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2


	Mosonmagyaróvár		Gloria Bistrița

	1	X	2
	1.95	8	2.15	Watch
	1.95	8.25	2.15
	1.83	8	2.2
	2	8.4	2.16
	2	9	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.5)	8.33 ↑ (8)	2.17 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosonmagyaróvár
46.9%

Draw
11%

Gloria Bistrița
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

11.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

11.7%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosonmagyaróvár has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosonmagyaróvár's performance.

Gloria Bistrița has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gloria Bistrița might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosonmagyaróvár than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mosonmagyaróvár that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Bistrița than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gloria Bistrița could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Mosonmagyaróvár - Gloria Bistrița Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mosonmagyaróvár will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Gloria Bistrița will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mosonmagyaróvár: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

1st leg.

Mosonmagyaróvár is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloria Bistrița is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gloria Bistrița could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gloria Bistrița have a series of home games.

Mosonmagyaróvár will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosonmagyaróvár Handball Women
Hungarian Cup Handball Women
10.03.24	Debreceni VSC - Mosonmagyaróvár	34:29 ✺
09.03.24	Mosonmagyaróvár - Ferencvárosi	25:29 ✺
Hungarian Division 1 Handball Women
22.02.24	Mosonmagyaróvár - Ferencvárosi	27:30 ✺
EHF European League Women
18.02.24	Targu Jiu - Mosonmagyaróvár	20:22 ✺
Hungarian Division 1 Handball Women
14.02.24	Győri Audi ETO KC - Mosonmagyaróvár	32:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- CSM Gloria Bistrița Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
13.03.24	Gloria Bistrița - Rapid București	25:22 ✺
08.03.24	Măgura Cisnădie - Gloria Bistrița	22:25 ✺
21.02.24	Gloria Bistrița - HC Zalău	28:23 ✺
EHF European League Women
17.02.24	Gloria Bistrița - Bensheim Auerbach	33:24 ✺
Romanian Cup Handball Women
14.02.24	Gloria Bistrița - Corona Brașov	35:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

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