Match Info

FRANCE: Division 1 Women - Round 17

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Mérignac		Nice

	1	X	2
	3.6	12	1.4
	3.6	11	1.37
	3.61	9.34	1.42
	3.5	10	1.36
	3.84	9.4	1.39
	3.6	11	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.54)	10.46 ↑ (9.05)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mérignac
25.2%

Draw
8.7%

Nice
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

10%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

10.2%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mérignac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérignac than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Mérignac - Nice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 1.

Mérignac is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nice is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nice is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Mérignac won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 299:317 (average 27.2:28.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mérignac won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 159:167 (average 26.5:27.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHB Mérignac Handball
French Division 1 Handball Women
16.03.25	Plan de Cuques - Mérignac	36:33 ✺
Coupe de France Handball Women
01.03.25	Toulon - Mérignac	31:30 penalties ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
26.02.25	Mérignac - Toulon	30:30 ✺
19.02.25	Brest Bretagne - Mérignac	33:23 ✺
12.02.25	Mérignac - Besançon	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT
- OGC Nice Handball
French Division 1 Handball Women
14.03.25	Nice - Brest Bretagne	29:38 ✺
26.02.25	Nice - Achenheim Truchtersheim	26:26 ✺
19.02.25	Stella St-Maur - Nice	23:32 ✺
12.02.25	Nice - Dijon	29:31 ✺
05.02.25	Besançon - Nice	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Handball Women
04.01.25	Nice - Mérignac	33:31
22.05.24	Nice - Mérignac	34:34
07.10.23	Mérignac - Nice	33:29
13.05.23	Mérignac - Nice	24:32
21.10.22	Nice - Mérignac	26:24
16.02.22	Nice - Mérignac	28:27
25.09.21	Mérignac - Nice	25:25

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