Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 21

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Palacio de los Deportes de La Rioja (Logroño)


	Naturhouse La Rioja		Benidorm

	1	X	2
	1.3	11	5
	1.2	14	5.75
	1.23	11	5
	1.29	10.72	4.89	Watch
	1.22	11	4.8
	1.29	10.5	4.9
	1.23	11	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	11.32 ↑ (9.6)	5.05 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naturhouse La Rioja
73.6%

Draw
8.1%

Benidorm
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

9.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

9.4%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Benidorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Naturhouse La Rioja - Benidorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Lineups


34. Cadarso D.	53. Bandeira J.
9. El Korchi I.	13. De Angelis T.
4. Fernandez J. L.	12. Domenech R.
29. Garcia J.	23. Durovic M.
1. Ledo X.	8. Hernandez J.
63. Mezaza S.	22. Lopez H.
10. Modi A.	93. Mane A.
33. Pergel A.	11. Moscariello L.
13. Ponciano T.	14. Rivera J.
7. Preciado A.	55. Roca D.
5. Rivero A.	5. Vainstein P.
22. Tua X.	34. Valles I.
23. Urios Gonzales R.	99. Witkowski K.
14. Zaja E. J.	21. Zarikos N.
8. Zarzuela O.	10. Zhukov D.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Rioja won 5.

La Rioja is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benidorm has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

La Rioja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match La Rioja is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches La Rioja won 16 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 602:509 (average 30.1:25.5).

Including matches at home between the teams La Rioja won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 285:223 (average 31.7:24.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.03.25	Torrelavega - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:41 ✺
09.03.25	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:27 ✺
01.03.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Quabit Guadalajara	39:32 ✺
22.02.25	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:32 ✺
14.02.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW
- CB Benidorm
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.03.25	Benidorm - Atlético Valladolid	28:30 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Alcobendas - Benidorm	36:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.03.25	Anaitasuna - Benidorm	30:29 ✺
23.02.25	Benidorm - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:38 ✺
14.02.25	Benidorm - BM Granollers	27:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.10.24	Benidorm - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:30
13.04.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Benidorm	33:23
11.11.23	Benidorm - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:34
21.05.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Benidorm	27:22
25.11.22	Benidorm - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:28
14.05.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Benidorm	34:31
28.11.21	Benidorm - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:35

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