Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Barclays Arena (Hamburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hansen M. (Den) - Madsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:30	Sport 2
Denmark	15:30	TV2 Sport
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Sports
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Poland	15:30	Eurosport 2
Romania	16:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	15:30	Arena Sport
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	16:30	Sport 1
United Kingdom	14:30	Viaplay


	Netherlands		Portugal

	1	X	2
	4	9.5	1.42	Watch
	3.7	11	1.42
	3.88	9.48	1.39	Watch
	3.6	8.5	1.36
	3.84	9.5	1.43	Watch
	3.85	10	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.23)	9.66 ↑ (8.63)	1.4 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
24.3%

Draw
9.6%

Portugal
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

10.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

10.7%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portugal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portugal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Netherlands - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: Portugal will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Preview

Netherlands is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Portugal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Portugal is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Netherlands won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 142-163.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands handball
Handball European Championship
21.01.24	Slovenia - Netherlands	37:34 ✺
19.01.24	Norway - Netherlands	35:32 ✺
17.01.24	Denmark - Netherlands	39:27 ✺
15.01.24	Sweden - Netherlands	29:28 ✺
13.01.24	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Netherlands	20:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Portugal handball
Handball European Championship
21.01.24	Sweden - Portugal	40:33 ✺
19.01.24	Slovenia - Portugal	30:33 ✺
17.01.24	Norway - Portugal	32:37 ✺
15.01.24	Denmark - Portugal	37:27 ✺
13.01.24	Czech Republic - Portugal	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Handball World Championship
17.04.22	Netherlands - Portugal	28:35
14.04.22	Portugal - Netherlands	30:33
Handball European Championship
18.01.22	Netherlands - Portugal	32:31
Friendly International Handball
08.04.16	Portugal - Netherlands	36:24
07.04.16	Portugal - Netherlands	31:25

Netherlands - Portugal