Match Info

Date: 29 September 2020, Tuesday


	Nexe		Bidasoa Irun

	1	X	2
	1.57	8.75	2.85
	1.51	9	3.2
	1.42	10	3.05
	1.62	8.5	2.75
	1.48	9.9	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	9.23 ↑ (8.9)	3.03 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nexe
60%

Draw
9.9%

Bidasoa Irun
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

10.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

9.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bidasoa Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nexe than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nexe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bidasoa Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	5%	2.5%

Nexe - Bidasoa Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: Nexe will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 27-30.

Nexe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bidasoa is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bidasoa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Nexe have a series of guest games.

Nexe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nexe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Nexe
EHF European League
22.09.20	Bidasoa Irun - Nexe	30:27 ✺
SEHA Liga
29.08.20	Vardar - Nexe	25:26 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.20	Szeged - Nexe	31:24 ✺
18.08.20	Csurgói - Nexe	28:22 ✺
12.08.20	PPD Zagreb - Nexe	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Bidasoa Irun
EHF European League
22.09.20	Bidasoa Irun - Nexe	30:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.09.20	Bidasoa Irun - BM Huesca	27:21 ✺
12.09.20	Anaitasuna - Bidasoa Irun	26:27 ✺
08.09.20	Morrazo Cangas - Bidasoa Irun	22:35 ✺
EHF European League
06.09.20	Bidasoa Irun - Pays dAix	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
22.09.20	Bidasoa Irun - Nexe	30:27

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