Match Info

1. Division - Round 12

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Norddjurs		Tønder

	1	X	2
	2.95	9.2	1.54
	2.92	7.61	1.55	Watch
	3.16	9.8	1.5
	2.95	8.02	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.98)	8.66 ↑ (8.1)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norddjurs
30.2%

Draw
10.5%

Tønder
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

11.2%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

10.9%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norddjurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Tønder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norddjurs than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Norddjurs - Tønder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

Norddjurs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Tønder has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tønder is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Norddjurs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 59:62. (average 29.5:31).

Including home match between the teams, Norddjurs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norddjurs Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
15.11.25	Rækker Mølle - Norddjurs	24:38 ✺
08.11.25	Norddjurs - Lemvig-Thyborøn	27:32 ✺
24.10.25	Midtjylland - Norddjurs	33:32 ✺
18.10.25	TIK Taastrup - Norddjurs	36:36 ✺
10.10.25	Norddjurs - Aarhus	30:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
16.11.25	Tønder - Aarhus	27:26 ✺
07.11.25	Skive FH - Tønder	30:28 ✺
26.10.25	Tønder - Give	35:28 ✺
18.10.25	KIF Kolding - Tønder	34:25 ✺
10.10.25	Tønder - Odder HB	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
26.01.25	Tønder - Norddjurs	31:27
21.09.24	Norddjurs - Tønder	32:31

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