Match Info

EUROPE: European Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Boris Trajkovski Sports Center (Skopje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	North Macedonia		Slovenia

	1	X	2
	1.67	8.5	2.7	Watch
	1.53	9	2.95
	1.64	8.4	2.7	Watch
	1.69	8.7	2.74	Watch
	1.62	8.5	2.7
	1.6	8.1	2.96
	1.64	8.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.19)	8.51 ↑ (8.45)	2.78 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Macedonia
56.3%

Draw
10.8%

Slovenia
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

10.8%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

10.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Macedonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Macedonia's performance.

Slovenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovenia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Macedonia than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Macedonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenia than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovenia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

North Macedonia - Slovenia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. North Macedonia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Slovenia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Lineups


88. Atanasievikj P.	1. Baznik J.
38. Djonov I.	3. Blagotinsek B.
9. Gjorgiev I.	30. Cokan T.
34. Jagurinovski T.	41. Groselj M.
15. Karasmanakis V.	27. Horzen K.
20. Kizikj M.	8. Janc B.
19. Kosteski N.	19. Jovicic S.
8. Kuzmanovski C.	47. Kavcic M.
18. Kuzmanovski F.	20. Kodrin T.
36. Lazarevski M.	90. Lesjak U.
10. Mitev M.	35. Makuc D.
1. Mitrevski N.	13. Marguc G.
33. Peshevski Z.	32. Mlivic T.
77. Serafimov M.	95. Suholeznik M.
42. Stojkovikj M.	14. Tajnik D.
4. Velkovski M.	88. Vlah A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Macedonia won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

North Macedonia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches North Macedonia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 200:225 (average 25:28.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Macedonia handball
Handball World Championship
25.01.25	France - North Macedonia	32:25 ✺
23.01.25	North Macedonia - Qatar	39:34 ✺
21.01.25	Austria - North Macedonia	29:29 ✺
19.01.25	North Macedonia - Guinea	29:20 ✺
17.01.25	Netherlands - North Macedonia	37:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTWL
- Slovenia handball
Handball World Championship
26.01.25	Croatia - Slovenia	29:26 ✺
24.01.25	Egypt - Slovenia	26:25 ✺
22.01.25	Slovenia - Argentina	34:23 ✺
20.01.25	Slovenia - Iceland	18:23 ✺
18.01.25	Cape Verde - Slovenia	24:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Handball European Championship
13.01.22	Slovenia - North Macedonia	27:25
Handball World Championship
20.01.21	North Macedonia - Slovenia	21:31
Friendly International Handball
03.01.20	Slovenia - North Macedonia	33:28
Handball European Championship
13.01.18	North Macedonia - Slovenia	25:24
Handball World Championship
16.01.17	Slovenia - North Macedonia	29:22
Friendly International Handball
05.01.16	Slovenia - North Macedonia	23:23
04.01.16	Slovenia - North Macedonia	28:28

North Macedonia - Slovenia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide