Match Info

Superliga - Play Out - Round 3

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Obilic Beograd		Rudar Kostolac

	1	X	2
	1.7	8	2.6
	1.7	8	2.6
	1.72	7.9	2.6
	1.7	8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	7.98 ↓ (8.3)	2.6 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obilic Beograd
53.5%

Draw
11.4%

Rudar Kostolac
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

10.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

10.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obilic Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Rudar Kostolac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obilic Beograd than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Kostolac than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 56.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obilic won 1.

Obilic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rudar Kostolac has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Obilic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Obilic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 227:215. (average 28.4:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Obilic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 153:136. (average 30.6:27.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obilic Beograd Handball
Serbian Superliga Handball
27.04.25	Kolubara - Obilic Beograd	24:26 ✺
16.04.25	Jugović - Obilic Beograd	31:24 ✺
12.04.25	Obilic Beograd - Dubočica	24:26 ✺
05.04.25	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	26:24 ✺
30.03.25	Obilic Beograd - Metaloplastika Šabac	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- RK Rudar Kostolac
Serbian Superliga Handball
27.04.25	Rudar Kostolac - Jugović	32:33 ✺
16.04.25	Vranje - Rudar Kostolac	29:31 ✺
12.04.25	Radnički Kragujevac - Rudar Kostolac	26:28 ✺
05.04.25	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	26:24 ✺
29.03.25	Dubočica - Rudar Kostolac	35:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga Handball
05.04.25	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	26:24
23.11.24	Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac	26:30
08.04.23	Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac	41:27
09.12.20	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	29:27
10.10.20	Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac	24:27
23.11.19	Rudar Kostolac - Obilic Beograd	24:23
24.02.19	Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac	32:26

Obilic Beograd - Rudar Kostolac: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide