Match Info

SERBIA: ARKUS LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Obilic Beograd		Samot 65

	1	X	2
	1.4	9	3.4
	1.45	9.3	3.38	Watch
	1.41	9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.46)	9.1 ↑ (9)	3.41 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obilic Beograd
63.6%

Draw
9.9%

Samot 65
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

10.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

10.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obilic Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Samot 65 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obilic Beograd than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samot 65 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Obilic Beograd - Samot 65 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obilic won 3.

Recent matches Obilic is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Samot has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Samot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Obilic is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Obilic won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 153-153.

Including matches at home between the teams Obilic won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 95-81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obilic Beograd Handball
Serbian Superliga Handball
19.11.22	Obilic Beograd - Jugović	34:31 ✺
12.11.22	Radnički Kragujevac - Obilic Beograd	32:25 ✺
09.11.22	Obilic Beograd - Dinamo Pančevo	29:30 ✺
22.10.22	Kikinda - Obilic Beograd	30:31 ✺
08.10.22	Obilic Beograd - Proleter Zrenjanin	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL
- Samot 65
Serbian Superliga Handball
26.11.22	Samot 65 - Kikinda	21:21 ✺
19.11.22	Proleter Zrenjanin - Samot 65	35:34 ✺
13.11.22	Samot 65 - RK Vojvodina	25:38 ✺
05.11.22	Toplicanin Prokuplje - Samot 65	33:25
28.10.22	Samot 65 - Dubočica	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga Handball
17.12.20	Obilic Beograd - Samot 65	34:27
17.10.20	Samot 65 - Obilic Beograd	23:20
11.05.19	Obilic Beograd - Samot 65	33:28
27.03.19	Samot 65 - Obilic Beograd	26:21
01.12.18	Obilic Beograd - Samot 65	28:26
23.02.18	Samot 65 - Obilic Beograd	23:17

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