Match Info

1. SRL Women - Losers stage - Round 13

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.38	9.82	3.64	Watch
	2.78	8.9	1.63
	2.8	8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.8)	8.91 ↑ (8)	2.29 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
44%

Draw
11.5%

Celje
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

11.3%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

10.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpija Ljubljana's performance.

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpija Ljubljana - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:27

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Preview

Olimpija has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celje is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Celje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Celje will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:60. (average 23:30).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Celje W	2	0	0	2	46:79	0
12	Olimpija W	4	0	0	4	106:126	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
07.05.26	Krka - Olimpija Ljubljana	27:24 ✺
23.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ptuj	33:30 ✺
17.04.26	Millennium - Olimpija Ljubljana	35:29 ✺
09.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Vrhnika	36:33 ✺
02.04.26	Litija - Olimpija Ljubljana	17:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW
- ŽRK Celje
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
25.04.26	Celje - Krka	30:35 ✺
18.04.26	Ptuj - Celje	37:28 ✺
15.04.26	Celje - Millennium	22:34 ✺
01.04.26	Vrhnika - Celje	38:27 ✺
28.03.26	Litija - Celje	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 SRL Women
19.03.26	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	28:24
16.01.26	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	32:22

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