Match Info

POLAND: CENTRAL LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Olsztyn		Nielba Wagrowiec

	1	X	2
	2.28	8.5	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.05)	8.5 ↑ (8)	1.8 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olsztyn
39.4%

Draw
10.6%

Nielba Wagrowiec
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

11.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

10.7%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Nielba Wagrowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nielba Wagrowiec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nielba Wagrowiec than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olsztyn won 2.

Olsztyn is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wagrowiec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Olsztyn won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 194-191.

Including matches at home between the teams Olsztyn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 82-75.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Społem Olsztyn
Polish Central League Handball
04.03.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Olsztyn	33:30 ✺
25.02.23	Olsztyn - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	34:32 ✺
18.02.23	Wieluń - Olsztyn	33:26 ✺
11.02.23	Olsztyn - Olimpia Piekary Śląskie	27:34 ✺
02.02.23	Olsztyn - GKS Żukowo	27:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- MKS Nielba Wagrowiec
Polish Central League Handball
04.03.23	Nielba Wagrowiec - GKS Żukowo	29:35 ✺
25.02.23	Padwa Zamość - Nielba Wagrowiec	32:34 penalties ✺
18.02.23	Nielba Wagrowiec - Biała Podlaska	19:27 ✺
11.02.23	Stal Gorzów Wielkopolski - Nielba Wagrowiec	37:23 ✺
04.02.23	Nielba Wagrowiec - Przemyśl	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Central League Handball
29.10.22	Nielba Wagrowiec - Olsztyn	32:30
19.03.22	Olsztyn - Nielba Wagrowiec	28:26
23.10.21	Nielba Wagrowiec - Olsztyn	28:26
Polish I Liga Handball
24.04.21	Nielba Wagrowiec - Olsztyn	23:24
21.11.20	Olsztyn - Nielba Wagrowiec	23:24
08.02.20	Nielba Wagrowiec - Olsztyn	33:32 OT
21.09.19	Olsztyn - Nielba Wagrowiec	31:25

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