Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 13

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Oviedo		Atlético Novás

	1	X	2
	1.62	8.1	2.85
	1.64	8.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	8.25 ↑ (8)	2.9 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oviedo
56.8%

Draw
11.2%

Atlético Novás
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

11.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

12.1%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oviedo's performance.

Atlético Novás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Novás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Novás than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Novás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oviedo - Atlético Novás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Oviedo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 63-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 35-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano Base Oviedo
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
06.12.23	Oviedo - Caserio Ciudad Real	30:26 ✺
02.12.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Oviedo	30:24 ✺
25.11.23	Oviedo - Antequera	25:25 ✺
18.11.23	EÓN Alicante - Oviedo	27:25 ✺
11.11.23	Oviedo - Mallorca	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTLW
- Atlético Novás
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
06.12.23	Atlético Novás - Quabit Guadalajara	32:32 ✺
02.12.23	Antequera - Atlético Novás	28:27 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Novás - EÓN Alicante	23:35 ✺
18.11.23	Mallorca - Atlético Novás	30:31 ✺
11.11.23	Atlético Novás - Eivissa	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.02.23	Oviedo - Atlético Novás	35:28
12.11.22	Atlético Novás - Oviedo	31:28

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