Match Info

Andebol 1 - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Póvoa		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.44	8.50	3.40
	1.46	8.50	3.30
	1.39	7.7	3.71
	1.44	9.55	3.30
	1.47	9.30	3.36
	1.46	10.00	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	8.93 ↑ (8.23)	3.43 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Póvoa
63.2%

Draw
10.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

11.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

11%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Póvoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Póvoa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:28

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Póvoa won 3.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Póvoa carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Póvoa has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 183:179 (averaging 26.1:25.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Póvoa against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 81:75 goals (averaging 27:25 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Povoa	8	5	0	3	250:243	18
7	Vitoria SC	8	3	0	5	228:276	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Póvoa Andebol
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	Marítimo - Póvoa	38:37 ✺
19.09.26	Póvoa - Carvalhos	32:26 ✺
12.09.26	Belenenses - Póvoa	25:28 ✺
05.09.26	Póvoa - Benfica	30:37 ✺
29.08.26	ABC Braga - Póvoa	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLL
- Vitoria Guimarães Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Águas Santas	33:29 ✺
19.09.26	Santo Tirso - Vitoria Guimarães	26:28 ✺
12.09.26	Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães	38:37 ✺
05.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Carvalhos	35:28 ✺
29.08.26	Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
22.11.25	Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães	34:29
06.09.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Póvoa	23:26
11.12.24	Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães	26:28
28.09.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Póvoa	28:20
Taca de Portugal Handball
06.04.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Póvoa	28:31
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.03.24	Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães	21:18
11.11.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Póvoa	25:25

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