Match Info

Champions League - Preliminary - Round 5

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Viaplay
Europe	—	EHF TV
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	beIN Sports 1
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 4
Slovenia	18:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	PPD Zagreb		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	4.50	10.00	1.35	Watch
	4.20	10.00	1.31
	4.90	11.50	1.27
	5.3	9.3	1.3
	4.15	11.00	1.30
	4.91	11.50	1.33	Watch
	4.70	12.00	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.73)	10.76 ↑ (9.08)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

PPD Zagreb
20%

Draw
8.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

10.5%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

9.9%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PPD Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PPD Zagreb's form might have worsened.

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PPD Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:34

#ad

Preview

PSG is Qualified for Champions League.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagreb won 1.

In recent outings, Zagreb has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

PSG is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

PSG carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Zagreb has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 433:520 (averaging 27.1:32.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagreb against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 200:240 goals (averaging 25:30 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK PPD Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
17.10.26	PPD Zagreb - Spačva Vinkovci	42:25
EHF Champions League
14.10.26	Aalborg - PPD Zagreb	34:33 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
10.10.26	Rudar Rude - PPD Zagreb	26:39 ✺
EHF Champions League
08.10.26	PPD Zagreb - Aalborg	23:33 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
03.10.26	PPD Zagreb - Porec	43:27
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
17.10.26	Caen - Paris Saint-Germain	28:42 ✺
EHF Champions League
14.10.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Paris Saint-Germain	30:41 ✺
French Starligue Handball
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Fenix Toulouse	30:23 ✺
EHF Champions League
07.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Celje Pivovarna Laško	46:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.10.26	Saran Loiret - Paris Saint-Germain	27:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - PPD Zagreb	34:30
18.02.26	PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain	24:35
09.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - PPD Zagreb	35:32
29.02.24	PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain	28:26
21.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - PPD Zagreb	35:31
08.02.23	PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain	30:33
06.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - PPD Zagreb	40:31

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK PPD Zagreb
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
30.10.26	Bjelovar - PPD Zagreb	✺
- Paris Saint-Germain Handball
French Starligue Handball
01.11.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Montpellier HB	✺

PPD Zagreb - Paris Saint-Germain