Match Info

Starligue - Round 21

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Pays dAix		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	6.5	12	1.22
	5.4	12	1.2	Watch
	6.17	11.03	1.19
	5.5	11	1.18
	5.82	12.2	1.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (5.87)	11.65 ↓ (12.01)	1.2 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pays dAix
15.6%

Draw
7.9%

HBC Nantes
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

7.7%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pays dAix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pays dAix - HBC Nantes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:35

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 1.

Pays dAix has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nantes is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nantes is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pays dAix won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 560:621. (average 28:31.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pays dAix won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 228:244. (average 28.5:30.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Nantes	5	4	0	1	172:141	8
5	Provence Aix	6	3	0	3	194:189	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pays dAix Handball
French Starligue Handball
13.03.26	Chartres - Pays dAix	30:30 ✺
05.03.26	Pays dAix - Selestat AHB	31:29 ✺
27.02.26	Pays dAix - Cesson Rennes Métropole	35:28 ✺
22.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Pays dAix	32:28 ✺
13.02.26	Chambery SH - Pays dAix	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWLL
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
15.03.26	HBC Nantes - Dunkerque	26:22 ✺
EHF Champions League
12.03.26	Füchse Berlin - HBC Nantes	34:37 ✺
05.03.26	HBC Nantes - Veszprém	33:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.03.26	HBC Nantes - USAM Nimes	36:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
25.02.26	Kolstad - HBC Nantes	26:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
23.11.25	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	34:28
24.05.25	Pays dAix - HBC Nantes	32:32
24.11.24	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	39:30
29.03.24	Pays dAix - HBC Nantes	24:30
15.12.23	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	37:41
Coupe de France Handball
05.04.23	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	37:24
French Starligue Handball
04.03.23	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	39:28

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