Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Pfadi Winterthur		Sävehof

	1	X	2
	3.1	8.5	1.5	Watch
	3.2	10	1.5
	3.54	8.74	1.46	Watch
	3.25	8.5	1.4
	3.28	8.8	1.52
	3.85	11	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.15)	9.26 ↑ (8.2)	1.46 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pfadi Winterthur
27.2%

Draw
9.9%

Sävehof
62.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

11.1%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

10.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pfadi Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pfadi Winterthur's form might have worsened.

Sävehof has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sävehof's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pfadi Winterthur than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pfadi Winterthur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sävehof than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sävehof, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pfadi Winterthur - Sävehof Predictions

Users Predictions: Sävehof will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

Pfadi Winterthur is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sävehof is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pfadi Winterthur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sävehof have a series of home games.

In this match Sävehof is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pfadi Winterthur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pfadi Winterthur
Swiss NLA Handball
18.11.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Suhr Aarau	35:30 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Sävehof - Pfadi Winterthur	41:20 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
11.11.23	Wacker Thun - Pfadi Winterthur	31:31 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:28 ✺
Swiss NLA Handball
21.10.23	Pfadi Winterthur - Kadetten Schaffhausen	30:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLTWW
- IK Sävehof
Swedish Cup Handball
17.11.23	Sävehof - Ystads IF	32:39 ✺
EHF European League
14.11.23	Sävehof - Pfadi Winterthur	41:20 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball
11.11.23	Sävehof - Eskilstuna Guif	35:27 ✺
Swedish Cup Handball
08.11.23	Ystads IF - Sävehof	30:26 ✺
Swedish Elitserien Handball
29.10.23	Sävehof - Lugi	39:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
14.11.23	Sävehof - Pfadi Winterthur	41:20

Pfadi Winterthur - Sävehof