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Current Win Probability
Porriño 28.8%
Draw 11.3%
Malaga Costa del Sol 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
11.3%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
10.1%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porriño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porriño's form might have worsened.
Malaga Costa del Sol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Malaga Costa del Sol's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porriño than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porriño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga Costa del Sol than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malaga Costa del Sol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porriño won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Porriño has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 18 losses, with a goal aggregate of 443:527 (averaging 23.3:27.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Porriño against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 217:253 goals (averaging 24.1:28.1 per game).