Match Info
Andebol 1 - Championship Group - Round 1Date: 28 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Portugal | Sporting TV |
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Porto |
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Sporting Lisbon |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.3 |
8.4 |
1.34 |
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4.1 |
8.24 |
1.36 |
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4 |
9.5 |
1.3 |
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3.58 |
9.8 |
1.42 |
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4.1 |
9.7 |
1.33 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.02 ↓ (4.1) |
9.13 ↓ (9.7) |
1.35 ↑ (1.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 64.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Porto 22.7% | Draw 10% | Sporting Lisbon 67.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Porto - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 0.Porto is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Sporting is the team to beat. We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 632:666. (average 31.6:33.3).Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 283:296. (average 31.4:32.9).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 296:184 | 21 |
| 2 | Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 280:174 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;