Match Info

1. SRL Women - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ptuj		Litija

	1	X	2
	1.27	10.7	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)	10.7 ↑ (8.5)	4.89 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ptuj
72.5%

Draw
8.6%

Litija
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

10.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

10.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ptuj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ptuj's performance.

Litija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ptuj than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Litija than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Ptuj - Litija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:25

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Preview

Aklimat Ptuj is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Litija has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Litija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aklimat Ptuj is a strong favorite.

We predict that Aklimat Ptuj will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aklimat Ptuj won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 131:139. (average 26.2:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aklimat Ptuj won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 52:57. (average 26:28.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Aklimat Ptuj W	3	1	0	2	80:94	2
8	ZRD Litija W	3	1	0	2	64:103	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŽRK Ptuj
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
23.04.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ptuj	33:30 ✺
18.04.26	Ptuj - Celje	37:28 ✺
15.04.26	Krka - Ptuj	28:32 ✺
27.03.26	Millennium - Ptuj	20:26 ✺
20.03.26	Ptuj - Vrhnika	35:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- ZRD Litija
Slovenian 1 SRL Women
23.04.26	Litija - Millennium	ZRD Litija W Awarded ✺
16.04.26	Vrhnika - Litija	27:22 ✺
02.04.26	Litija - Olimpija Ljubljana	17:21 ✺
28.03.26	Litija - Celje	28:27 ✺
14.03.26	Litija - Ptuj	23:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 ?LLWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 SRL Women
14.03.26	Litija - Ptuj	23:27
24.01.26	Litija - Ptuj	25:22
25.01.25	Ptuj - Litija	28:33
24.03.23	Ptuj - Litija	24:24
08.01.23	Litija - Ptuj	34:30

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