The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
RTV Basel 22.6%
Draw 9.8%
Bern Muri 67.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
10.6%
59.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
10.3%
60.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RTV Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RTV Basel's form might have worsened.
Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bern Muri's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RTV Basel than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RTV Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bern Muri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
RTV Basel - Bern Muri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RTV Basel won 3.
In recent outings, RTV Basel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bern shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bern may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, RTV Basel has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bern holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Bern in today's match, at odds of 1.53.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, RTV Basel has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 556:590 (averaging 27.8:29.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for RTV Basel against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 250:259 goals (averaging 27.8:28.8 per game).
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