Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 27

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Palacio de los Deportes de León (León)


	Reale Ademar		Benidorm

	1	X	2
	1.27	11	5.5
	1.26	11.5	5
	1.33	10	4
	1.26	10.7	5.37	Watch
	1.3	10	4
	1.31	10	4.71	Watch
	1.33	10	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	10.46 ↑ (9.22)	4.65 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
71.3%

Draw
8.8%

Benidorm
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

10%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

9.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Benidorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Reale Ademar - Benidorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:27

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Lineups


4. Alvarez C.	53. Bandeira J.
37. Alvaro F. A.	13. De Angelis T.
1. Barkhordari S.	12. Domenech R.
73. Benites R.	23. Durovic M.
13. Doval R.	8. Hernandez J.
9. Fernandez A.	22. Lopez H.
66. Fernandez E.	93. Mane A.
2. Lindqvist O.	11. Moscariello L.
33. Martin A.	19. Sempere J.
14. Mellado S.	5. Vainstein P.
3. Minabres J.	34. Valles I.
24. Mohamed M.	99. Witkowski K.
16. Perez Mendez A.	21. Zarikos N.
8. Sanz D.	10. Zhukov D.
7. Wasiak P.
17. Zapico A.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 1.

Ademar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Benidorm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ademar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Benidorm has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ademar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 572:537. (average 28.6:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ademar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 272:246. (average 30.2:27.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
27.04.25	BM Granollers - Reale Ademar	30:30 ✺
20.04.25	Reale Ademar - Quabit Guadalajara	31:25 ✺
13.04.25	Nava - Reale Ademar	32:27 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
08.04.25	Morrazo Cangas - Reale Ademar	30:33 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.04.25	Reale Ademar - Morrazo Cangas	38:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWW
- CB Benidorm
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.25	BM Huesca - Benidorm	30:26 ✺
15.04.25	Benidorm - Bidasoa Irun	27:27 ✺
12.04.25	Benidorm - Barcelona	22:37 ✺
06.04.25	Benidorm - Villa de Aranda	32:31 ✺
29.03.25	Benidorm - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.12.24	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	28:28
10.02.24	Reale Ademar - Benidorm	37:32
16.09.23	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	26:26
26.03.23	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	28:27
08.10.22	Reale Ademar - Benidorm	32:32
07.05.22	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	28:27
08.12.21	Reale Ademar - Benidorm	34:39

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