Match Info

European League - Group Stage

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Reale Ademar		Nexe

	1	X	2
	2.25	8	1.9	Watch
	2.07	8	2.04
	5.03	7.87	1.31	Watch
	2.07	9	1.97
	1.96	7.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.71)	8.07 ↑ (8)	1.87 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
36.2%

Draw
12%

Nexe
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

11.4%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

11.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reale Ademar's form might have worsened.

Nexe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nexe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reale Ademar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nexe than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nexe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Reale Ademar - Nexe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ademar will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nexe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ademar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ademar (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ademar (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Ademar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nexe is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ademar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:62. (average 31:31).

Including home match between the teams, Ademar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 33:28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.10.25	Reale Ademar - BM Ciudad Encantada	29:28 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Reale Ademar	30:22 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
10.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	26:33 ✺
04.10.25	Reale Ademar - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:31 ✺
25.09.25	Bidasoa Irun - Reale Ademar	26:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWT
- RK Nexe
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
18.10.25	Dugo Selo - Nexe	30:33 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	Nexe - Partizan Beograd	30:22 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Handball
04.10.25	Zamet - Nexe	25:35 ✺
26.09.25	Porec - Nexe	27:35 ✺
21.09.25	Nexe - Sesvete	36:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
30.11.13	Reale Ademar - Nexe	33:28
24.11.13	Nexe - Reale Ademar	34:29

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