Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Reale Ademar		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.25	11	6	Watch
	1.19	12	5.6
	1.16	11.09	7.05	Watch
	1.17	11	6
	1.2	12.5	6.01	Watch
	1.18	14	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.28)	11.93 ↑ (10.77)	6.19 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
77.4%

Draw
7.7%

Villa de Aranda
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

8.5%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reale Ademar's performance.

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa de Aranda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27

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Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 5.

In recent matches, Ademar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Villa de Aranda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villa de Aranda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ademar is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 441:377. (average 31.5:26.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ademar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 230:187. (average 32.9:26.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	30:30 ✺
14.12.25	Reale Ademar - EÓN Alicante	29:28 ✺
11.12.25	Reale Ademar - Nava	32:29 ✺
06.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	33:33 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Nexe - Reale Ademar	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWTL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
16.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:24 ✺
13.12.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Villa de Aranda	22:19 ✺
10.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona	28:34 ✺
06.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Bidasoa Irun	32:36 ✺
29.11.25	BM Granollers - Villa de Aranda	28:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.02.25	Villa de Aranda - Reale Ademar	25:27
22.09.24	Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda	30:25
17.02.21	Villa de Aranda - Reale Ademar	24:31
12.09.20	Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda	33:25
27.05.17	Villa de Aranda - Reale Ademar	29:34
10.12.16	Reale Ademar - Villa de Aranda	33:26
20.04.16	Villa de Aranda - Reale Ademar	34:30

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