Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Reale Ademar		Nava

	1	X	2
	1.27	11.00	5.50
	1.26	10.50	4.80
	1.24	12.00	5.30
	1.24	9.4	5.5	Watch
	1.25	11.00	4.70
	1.25	11.50	5.12	Watch
	1.23	12.00	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.27)	11.06 ↑ (11)	5.12 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reale Ademar
73.7%

Draw
8.3%

Nava
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.3%

8.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Reale Ademar - Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:30

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 16th in the Relegation - Division de Honor Plata).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ademar won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Ademar (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nava may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ademar enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Ademar has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 383:349 (averaging 29.5:26.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ademar against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 214:173 goals (averaging 30.6:24.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Ademar	7	3	0	4	247:246	6
14	Nava	7	1	1	5	208:251	3

Last Results with these Odds

Reale Ademar - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.27%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.10.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Reale Ademar	35:33 ✺
25.09.26	Reale Ademar - Morrazo Cangas	33:32 ✺
20.09.26	Reale Ademar - BM Ciudad Encantada	32:35 ✺
13.09.26	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Reale Ademar	39:38 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.26	Oviedo - Reale Ademar	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.10.26	Nava - Proin	34:35 ✺
26.09.26	Nava - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:38 ✺
19.09.26	Torrelavega - Nava	33:19 ✺
12.09.26	Bidasoa Irun - Nava	35:25 ✺
13.06.26	Nava - Agustinos Alicante	41:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.03.26	Nava - Reale Ademar	28:31
11.12.25	Reale Ademar - Nava	32:29
13.04.25	Nava - Reale Ademar	32:27
16.11.24	Reale Ademar - Nava	34:27
18.02.24	Nava - Reale Ademar	31:30
23.09.23	Reale Ademar - Nava	34:34
05.03.22	Reale Ademar - Nava	30:20

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