Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Roskilde		Grindsted

	1	X	2
	3.05	8	1.52
	3	8.5	1.5
	3.6	10.5	1.39
	3.65	13	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.52)	10 ↑ (8.05)	1.44 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
27.4%

Draw
9.1%

Grindsted
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

11.3%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

11.4%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roskilde's form might have worsened.

Grindsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grindsted's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roskilde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grindsted than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grindsted, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roskilde - Grindsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

Roskilde is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grindsted is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grindsted will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 67-82.

Including matches at home between the teams Roskilde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roskilde Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
04.03.23	Rækker Mølle - Roskilde	31:25 ✺
26.02.23	Roskilde - FIF	32:33 ✺
17.02.23	Sydhavsøerne - Roskilde	37:21 ✺
12.02.23	Skovbakken - Roskilde	29:27 ✺
04.02.23	Roskilde - Skive FH	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLLW
- Grindsted GIF
Danish 1 Division Handball
05.03.23	Grindsted - Skovbakken	33:27 ✺
25.02.23	Skive FH - Grindsted	29:26 ✺
19.02.23	Grindsted - Tønder	27:24 ✺
11.02.23	Ringsted - Grindsted	28:26 ✺
04.02.23	Grindsted - Otterup	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
13.11.22	Grindsted - Roskilde	31:19
03.04.22	Roskilde - Grindsted	22:22
27.11.21	Grindsted - Roskilde	29:26

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