Match Info

2. Bundesliga Women - Round 29

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Rostocker		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.1	12	1.44
	2.84	7.85	1.61
	3.49	9.6	1.44
	2.28	9.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.3)	9.74 ↑ (9)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostocker
31.4%

Draw
9.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

10.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

10.6%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostocker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rostocker's form might have worsened.

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostocker than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rostocker, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayer Leverkusen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rostocker - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Recent form of Rostocker has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leverkusen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Leverkusen will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rostocker won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:29.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
13	Leverkusen W	4	0	1	3	108:142	1
15	Rostocker W	4	0	0	4	89:134	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rostocker HC
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
16.05.26	Solingen Gräfrath - Rostocker	34:23 ✺
09.05.26	Rostocker - Waiblingen	25:27 ✺
02.05.26	Werder Bremen - Rostocker	32:23 ✺
25.04.26	Kirchhof - Rostocker	26:28 ✺
18.04.26	Rostocker - Freiburg	32:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- HC TSV Bayer 04 Leverkusen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
17.05.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg	31:29 ✺
09.05.26	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	28:29 ✺
03.05.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Lintfort	31:24 ✺
25.04.26	Bergischer - Bayer Leverkusen	29:34 ✺
18.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Füchse Berlin	29:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Rostocker	29:30

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