Match Info

1. Division

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ryger Stavanger		Lillestrøm

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Ryger Stavanger
39.6%

Draw
12%

Lillestrøm
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

11.2%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

10.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryger Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryger Stavanger's performance.

Lillestrøm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryger Stavanger than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryger Stavanger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lillestrøm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryger Stavanger
Norwegian 1 Division Handball
13.12.25	Åsane - Ryger Stavanger	31:24 ✺
07.12.25	Ryger Stavanger - Viking TIF Bergen	35:32 ✺
20.11.25	Haslum HK - Ryger Stavanger	24:23 ✺
16.11.25	Melhus - Ryger Stavanger	31:25 ✺
09.11.25	Ryger Stavanger - Nordstrand	21:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWLLL
- Lillestrøm Topphåndball
Norwegian 1 Division Handball
13.12.25	Lillestrøm - Nordstrand	24:27 ✺
06.12.25	Grenland - Lillestrøm	29:34 ✺
22.11.25	Lillestrøm - Kragerø	26:29 ✺
16.11.25	Bodø - Lillestrøm	28:28 ✺
08.11.25	Lillestrøm - Charlottenlund	23:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTL

Ryger Stavanger - Lillestrøm