Match Info

1a Divisao Women - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros		Alavarium-Love Tiles

	1	X	2
	1.7	8.4	2.55
	1.72	8.19	2.59	Watch
	1.69	7.9	2.73
	1.7	8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	8.12 ↓ (8.25)	2.64 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros
53.9%

Draw
11.3%

Alavarium-Love Tiles
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

11.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

12.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Alavarium-Love Tiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alavarium-Love Tiles than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alavarium Love Tiles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SIR 1º Maio won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

SIR 1º Maio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SIR 1º Maio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, SIR 1º Maio won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 158:162. (average 22.6:23.1).

Including home matches between the teams, SIR 1º Maio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:62. (average 19.3:20.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
25.04.25	Almeida Garrett - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	29:30 ✺
18.04.25	Gil Eanes - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	28:25 ✺
29.03.25	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Colegio de Gaia	23:24 ✺
22.03.25	Leça - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	27:20 ✺
15.03.25	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Almeida Garrett	22:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLLLL
- Alavarium-Love Tiles
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
27.04.25	Almeida Garrett - Alavarium-Love Tiles	33:25 ✺
25.04.25	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Colegio de Gaia	27:27 ✺
18.04.25	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Leça	28:28 ✺
29.03.25	Gil Eanes - Alavarium-Love Tiles	30:22 ✺
22.03.25	Alavarium-Love Tiles - Almeida Garrett	26:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
22.02.25	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alavarium-Love Tiles	30:28
09.11.24	Alavarium-Love Tiles - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	32:30
11.02.23	Alavarium-Love Tiles - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	28:28
27.11.22	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alavarium-Love Tiles	27:26
17.01.21	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alavarium-Love Tiles	1:8
05.01.19	Alavarium-Love Tiles - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	21:25
24.02.18	Alavarium-Love Tiles - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	19:17

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