Match Info

European League

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay


	Saint-Raphael		Elverum

	1	X	2
	2.50	8.00	1.70	Watch
	1.93	6.75	2.25
	2.55	9.50	1.70
	1.85	6.7	2.34	Watch
	1.89	7.20	2.20
	2.53	8.90	1.73
	1.97	7.80	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.44)	7.84 ↓ (9.2)	2.03 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Raphael
42.6%

Draw
11.8%

Elverum
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

9.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

10.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Raphael has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saint-Raphael's form might have worsened.

Elverum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elverum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Raphael than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Raphael, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elverum than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elverum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Saint Raphael - Elverum Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Saint-Raphael will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Elverum will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elverum: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elverum (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


18. Augustine Y.	45. Berg B.
82. Barras G.	3. Chehri M.
17. Bataille B.	20. Gjerdalen S.
7. Blyzniuk I.	34. Gulliksen K.
83. Burdet M.	1. Ibsen H.
15. Colman Q.	22. Kalnins V.
12. Demaille A.	98. Karamoko A.
6. Gorgibus E.	4. Matic M.
22. Kouadio N.	11. Mikkel S.
11. Leyvigne M.	95. Pedersen F.
8. Mapu J.	6. Sogaard S.
36. Marescot J.	21. Solost E.
84. Mihy L.	19. Starck T.
33. Mohamed A.	13. Thorisson T.
1. Perez J.	17. Toft E.
28. Perez S.	24. Vegard Bakken O.

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Saint-Raphael (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Elverum is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Saint-Raphael could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saint-Raphael Var HB
French Starligue Handball
02.10.26	Caen - Saint-Raphael	33:30 ✺
EHF European League
29.09.26	Nexe - Saint-Raphael	33:26 ✺
French Starligue Handball
25.09.26	Saint-Raphael - Saran Loiret	22:26 ✺
18.09.26	Tremblay - Saint-Raphael	36:30 ✺
11.09.26	Saint-Raphael - Dunkerque	26:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Elverum Handball
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
02.10.26	Elverum - Runar	40:35 ✺
EHF European League
29.09.26	Elverum - Hammarby	37:28 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
25.09.26	Bergsøy - Elverum	22:37 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup Handball
23.09.26	Fjellhammer - Elverum	21:32 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien Handball
19.09.26	Elverum - Kristiansand	32:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

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