Match Info

LATVIA: VIRSLIGA

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Salaspils		Vainode

	1	X	2
	1.78	9.87	2.23
	1.6	8.4	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	9.14 ↓ (9.78)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salaspils
54.1%

Draw
10%

Vainode
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

9.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

9.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salaspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Vainode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salaspils than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vainode than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Salaspils - Vainode Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Recent matches Salaspils is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vainode is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vainode could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Salaspils will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salaspils won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 80-82.

Including matches at home between the teams Salaspils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salaspils Handball
Latvian Virsliga Handball
17.10.23	Salaspils - ASK LSPA	31:42 ✺
08.10.23	Salaspils - Latgols	34:39 ✺
04.10.23	ONSC Ogre - Salaspils	39:28
23.09.23	Skriveri - Salaspils	33:34
16.09.23	Vainode - Salaspils	26:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- HK Vainode
Latvian Virsliga Handball
21.10.23	Vainode - ONSC Ogre	27:40
07.10.23	Vainode - Latgols	28:26 ✺
01.10.23	ASK LSPA - Vainode	35:23 ✺
30.09.23	Dobeles Tenax - Vainode	37:16
23.09.23	MSG LAT - Vainode	42:17
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga Handball
16.09.23	Vainode - Salaspils	26:30
07.01.23	Vainode - Salaspils	26:23
16.10.22	Salaspils - Vainode	27:30

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