Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Samot 65		Novi Pazar

	1	X	2
	2.29	8	1.77
	2.33	8.7	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)	8.35 ↑ (8.15)	1.82 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samot 65
39.2%

Draw
10.9%

Novi Pazar
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

11%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

9.8%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samot 65 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samot 65 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novi Pazar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Samot 65 - Novi Pazar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Samot is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Novi Pazar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Samot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Samot won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 96-77.

Including matches at home between the teams Samot won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 66-48.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samot 65
Serbian Superliga Handball
11.11.20	Železničar Nis - Samot 65	38:27 ✺
31.10.20	Samot 65 - Metaloplastika Šabac	27:32 ✺
24.10.20	Crvena Zvezda - Samot 65	31:30 ✺
17.10.20	Samot 65 - Obilic Beograd	23:20 ✺
03.10.20	Rudar Kostolac - Samot 65	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- RK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga Handball
07.11.20	Novi Pazar - Rudar Kostolac	33:31 ✺
24.10.20	Železničar Nis - Novi Pazar	37:23 ✺
17.10.20	Novi Pazar - Metaloplastika Šabac	32:30 ✺
11.10.20	Crvena Zvezda - Novi Pazar	33:32 ✺
03.10.20	Novi Pazar - Obilic Beograd	26:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga Handball
23.11.19	Samot 65 - Novi Pazar	34:28
15.12.18	Samot 65 - Novi Pazar	32:20
29.09.18	Novi Pazar - Samot 65	29:30

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