Match Info

Andebol 1 - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Santo Tirso		Águas Santas

	1	X	2
	4.33	9.50	1.30
	4.30	9.00	1.31
	4.94	8.2	1.29	Watch
	4.30	10.00	1.30
	4.44	10.20	1.31
	4.50	11.00	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (2.69)	9.65 ↑ (7.3)	1.31 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo Tirso
20.5%

Draw
9.5%

Águas Santas
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

12.3%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

11.5%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo Tirso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santo Tirso's form might have worsened.

Águas Santas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águas Santas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santo Tirso than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santo Tirso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águas Santas than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águas Santas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santo Tirso - Águas Santas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:30

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Preview

Recent results have been tough for Santo Tirso (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Águas Santas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Águas Santas for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santo Tirso has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:52 (averaging 20:26 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santo Tirso against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:28 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Aguas Santas	7	3	0	4	209:210	13
10	Santo Tirso	8	1	0	7	215:266	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GC Santo Tirso Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	ABC Braga - Santo Tirso	34:28 ✺
19.09.26	Santo Tirso - Vitoria Guimarães	26:28 ✺
12.09.26	Avanca - Santo Tirso	30:36 ✺
05.09.26	Santo Tirso - Marítimo	20:32 ✺
29.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Santo Tirso	37:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLL
- Associação Atlética de Águas Santas
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Águas Santas	33:29 ✺
19.09.26	Águas Santas - Marítimo	27:29 ✺
12.09.26	Carvalhos - Águas Santas	23:31 ✺
05.09.26	Águas Santas - Belenenses	31:28 ✺
29.08.26	Benfica - Águas Santas	34:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
20.05.23	Águas Santas - Santo Tirso	24:19
03.12.22	Santo Tirso - Águas Santas	21:28

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